Zürich vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zürich v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
Zürich vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zürich 0-1 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano squeezed past Zürich 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Zürich had 46% of the ball to Lugano's 54%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.62 to 1.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zürich and 1.33 for Lugano.
What was the final score of Zürich vs Lugano?
Zürich 0-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zürich vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zürich 25%, draw 22%, Lugano 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.