RB Leipzig 1-0 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Apr 2026

RB Leipzig
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Mönchengladbach
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
13%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over
66%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
15%
4.96
2-3
43%
1.93
4-5
31%
2.63
6+
11%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.76
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
5%
12.35
X/X
10%
7.06
2/1 ✗
4%
19.1
2/2
7%
9.28
2/X
4%
17.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 4% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

RB Leipzig v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME RB Leipzig The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.44
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.36 xG 1.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
488 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2025 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
29.03.2025 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
09.11.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
17.02.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
23.09.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
11.03.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

RB Leipzig 1-0 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
1 - 0
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.43 xG 1.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
368 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
51 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

RB Leipzig came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mönchengladbach 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in RB Leipzig's favour, shots finished 24-15, expected goals 2.43 to 1.95.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for RB Leipzig against 0.17 for Mönchengladbach.

RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Result & Final Score

RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 69%, draw 18%, Mönchengladbach 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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