St. Pauli 0-5 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
14%
4.95
Away Pick
75%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
29%
2.74
Over
71%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
12%
5.85
2-3
38%
2.04
4-5
33%
2.48
6+
17%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.5
1/2
3%
18.85
1/X
3%
20.95
X/1
4%
16.35
X/2
20%
4.0
X/X
8%
8.44
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
52%
1.53
2/X
3%
18.45
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME St. Pauli The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih The Market 75%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.88 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 3.06
1.92 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 87%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.53 xG 2.22
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
217 Passes 763
75% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
29.03.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-2 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
09.11.2024 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
07.05.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-8 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
11.12.2010 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
09.09.2006 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0 - 5
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.59 xG 3.84
23% Ball Possession 77%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
200 Passes 873
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW St. Pauli vs Bayern Münih
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayern Münih overpowered St. Pauli 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (71%) came in, both teams to score (55%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: St. Pauli had 23% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 77%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.59 to 3.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Pauli and 3.17 for Bayern Münih.

St. Pauli vs Bayern Münih Result & Final Score

St. Pauli 0 - 5 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

St. Pauli vs Bayern Münih Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 11%, draw 14%, Bayern Münih 75%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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