Heidenheim 3-1 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.26
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.38
6+
6%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.93
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
13%
5.52
X/X
17%
4.6
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.55
2/X
5%
12.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heidenheim The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin The Market 40%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
10.05.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-3 HT 0-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
11.01.2025 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
24.02.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-2 HT 2-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
30.09.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
19.10.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
3 - 1
AWAY Union Berlin
1.85 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
237 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Heidenheim vs Union Berlin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Heidenheim saw off Union Berlin 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

From a near-even 36% / 28% / 36% read, it was Heidenheim who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Union Berlin saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.85 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidenheim had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Heidenheim against 0.83 for Union Berlin.

Heidenheim vs Union Berlin Result & Final Score

Heidenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heidenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 36%, draw 28%, Union Berlin 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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