Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Homburg v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Homburg edged past SGV Freiberg 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) landed.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Homburg and 1.67 for SGV Freiberg.
Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Result & Final Score
Homburg 2 - 1 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Homburg 46%, draw 25%, SGV Freiberg 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.