Para Hills Knights 1-3 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
9.57
Draw
11%
6.26
Away
79%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
8%
+2.2pp
12%
Draw
13%
-1.4pp
79%
Away Win
79%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.16/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.23
+19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Para Hills Knights
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
26.07.2025 Adelaide City Adelaide City 5-1 HT 2-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
03.05.2025 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 1-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
01.06.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
01.03.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
22.08.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
04.07.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City got the better of Para Hills Knights 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.50 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City?

Para Hills Knights 1-3 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Para Hills Knights 10%, draw 12%, Adelaide City 79%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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