Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Avispa Fukuoka v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka shaded a tight game against V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%) came home.
Under the surface, V-Varen Nagasaki saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.16 to 0.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Avispa Fukuoka against 0.83 for V-Varen Nagasaki.
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Result & Final Score
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J1 League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 36%, draw 31%, V-Varen Nagasaki 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.