Vissel Kobe 3-2 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.93
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.8
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.69
6+
5%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vissel Kobe The Market 52%
Signal
AWAY Nagoya Grampus The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 Passes 286
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2026 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
15.06.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
22.02.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
20.07.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-3 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
25.11.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
3 - 2
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
2.48 xG 1.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
291 Passes 202
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Nagoya Grampus 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 58% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 42%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.48 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus Result & Final Score

Vissel Kobe 3 - 2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 49%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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