Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Apr 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0 AET 1-1 · Pen 5-4
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.63
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
17%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.77
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.69
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.85
6+
4%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima The Market 61%
Signal
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse The Market 21%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2026 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
26.02.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.09.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
3.12 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
348 Passes 243
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Sanfrecce Hiroshima went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 57% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 43%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 3.12 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Result & Final Score

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-Pulse 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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