Kyoto Sanga 5-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.65
Over
42%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.4
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
18%
4.36
6+
4%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kyoto Sanga The Market 48%
Signal
AWAY Fagiano Okayama The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 195
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
30.08.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 5-0 HT 3-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
15.02.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-0 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
20.11.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
26.06.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
04.11.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
5 - 1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
2.53 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 11
229 Passes 150
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kyoto Sanga ran out comfortable winners over Fagiano Okayama 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kyoto Sanga as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 57% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 43%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.53 to 1.31.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.67 for Fagiano Okayama.

Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama Result & Final Score

Kyoto Sanga 5 - 1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 44%, draw 29%, Fagiano Okayama 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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