Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Kashiwa Reysol 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The model refused to pick a side here (32% / 31% / 37%); Machida Zelvia picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Kashiwa Reysol saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.90 to 0.27 — on chances created, Machida Zelvia won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Machida Zelvia against 0.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.
Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Result & Final Score
Machida Zelvia 1 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 32%, draw 31%, Kashiwa Reysol 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.