Carrick Rangers 2-3 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

Carrick Rangers
2-3 HT 1-1
Ballymena United
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2025/2026

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.86
Over Pick
57%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.74
No
44%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.07
2-3
37%
1.72
4-5 ✓
28%
3.41
6+
12%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.76
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
21%
4.68
X/2
9%
7.2
X/X
11%
4.64
2/1 ✗
11%
24.8
2/2
14%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Carrick Rangers v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United The Market 30%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.35 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.18
1.19 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.52
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
14.03.2026 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
20.12.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.10.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
12.04.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.01.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
REVIEW Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ballymena United squeezed past Carrick Rangers 3-2 on their travels. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 49% lean on Carrick Rangers didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.17 for Ballymena United.

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Result & Final Score

Carrick Rangers 2-3 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 49%, draw 24%, Ballymena United 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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