Ballymena United 2-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.74
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
15%
5.4
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
12%
3.87
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 39%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.00/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.50
-24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.12.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.10.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
12.04.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.01.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-4 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United squeezed past Carrick Rangers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ballymena United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.00 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Ballymena United 2-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 38%, draw 27%, Carrick Rangers 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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