Crusaders FC 0-3 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.44
6+ Goals
13%
13.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.14
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
15%
5.91
X/2
11%
5.16
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.37
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.64/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.14
+31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 1
7 Corners 2
15.11.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-1 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.09.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.02.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
17.12.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC swept aside Crusaders FC 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Glenavon FC made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.83 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Glenavon FC?

Crusaders FC 0-3 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 39%, draw 24%, Glenavon FC 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
14 Mar 2026
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