Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.67
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
5.59
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.89
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.50
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
12.04.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.01.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-4 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.04.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 37%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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