Glenavon FC 2-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
64%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.65
1/2
7%
23.1
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
X/1
5%
15.55
X/2
17%
3.8
X/X
9%
6.57
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
40%
1.67
2/X
5%
19.2
Value flag · 1/X at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
64%
Away Win
67%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 71%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.00/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.69
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
21.12.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
20.08.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC squeezed past Linfield FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Linfield FC at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 2.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC?

Glenavon FC 2-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 14%, draw 22%, Linfield FC 64%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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