York United vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
York United v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
York United vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 2-2 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
York United and HFX Wanderers finished all square at 2-2. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
On the day, York United had 56% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.26 to 1.90.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York United and 1.67 for HFX Wanderers.
York United vs HFX Wanderers Result & Final Score
York United 2 - 2 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
York United vs HFX Wanderers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split York United 38%, draw 30%, HFX Wanderers 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York United), Under 2.5 went the other way.