HFX Wanderers 4-0 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.81
No
38%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+10.9pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +29%
2.14/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.49
+49% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.9 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY York United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
415 Passes 382
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
13.04.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
19.10.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
02.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
06.07.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
25.05.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
4-0
AWAY York United
3.48 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
278 Passes 409
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers swept aside York United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 42% of the ball to York United's 58%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 3.48 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.50 for York United.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs York United?

HFX Wanderers 4-0 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 46%, draw 27%, York United 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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