FC Sheriff 3-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.83/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.70
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Milsami
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
24.08.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
05.07.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
24.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
18.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
13.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
3-1
AWAY Milsami
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff saw off Milsami 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 46% of the ball to Milsami's 54%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Sheriff and 1.00 for Milsami.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

FC Sheriff 3-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 59%, draw 22%, Milsami 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
11 Apr 2026
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