Milsami 1-0 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.34/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.60
+25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +55%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
05.07.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
24.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
18.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
13.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
02.11.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-0
AWAY FC Sheriff
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milsami vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami nicked a narrow win over FC Sheriff 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Milsami had 39% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 61%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milsami and 1.83 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Milsami 1-0 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Milsami 24%, draw 28%, FC Sheriff 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
26 Oct 2025
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