FC Sheriff 1-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.0pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.20/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.71
-22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +53%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Milsami
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
24.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
18.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
13.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
02.11.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
31.08.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-1
AWAY Milsami
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff and Milsami shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. FC Sheriff carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 60% of the ball to Milsami's 40%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for Milsami.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

FC Sheriff 1-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 68%, draw 20%, Milsami 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
24 Aug 2025
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