CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.80
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
314 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-2 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0-0
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Vitoria Guimaraes II played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CF Os Belenenses at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 46% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 54%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 47%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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