Uniao Santarem 0-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
0.68/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.97
-45% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Trofense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2026 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
0-1
AWAY Trofense
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense nicked a narrow win over Uniao Santarem 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trofense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 45% of the ball to Trofense's 55%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Trofense?

Uniao Santarem 0-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 35%, draw 30%, Trofense 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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