Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Dezembro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitano Évora 1911 v Dezembro — Team-Based Signals
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Dezembro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 Dezembro — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 nicked a narrow win over Dezembro 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 44% of the ball to Dezembro's 56%, shots finished 8-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 0.67 for Dezembro.
What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Dezembro?
Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Dezembro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 52%, draw 28%, Dezembro 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.