Sanjoanense vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanjoanense v Fafe — Team-Based Signals
Sanjoanense vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sanjoanense 2-3 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics
Fafe squeezed past Sanjoanense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sanjoanense had 64% of the ball to Fafe's 36%, shots finished 22-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.33 for Fafe.
What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Fafe?
Sanjoanense 2-3 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Fafe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 24%, draw 26%, Fafe 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.