Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.90/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.55
-26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
2-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes II vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II and CF Os Belenenses shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CF Os Belenenses at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 62% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 38%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 26%, draw 30%, CF Os Belenenses 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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