Amora FC 0-3 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.15
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2026 Amora FC Amora FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
02.11.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-2 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
17.01.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
17.09.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
0-3
AWAY Sporting Covilha
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha swept aside Amora FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Amora FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amora FC had 46% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 54%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amora FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Amora FC and 0.75 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha?

Amora FC 0-3 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amora FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 42%, draw 31%, Sporting Covilha 26%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amora FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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