Mafra vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
POR2
3-1
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Mafra
POR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Varzim
POR2
Mafra 1-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Mafra nicked a narrow win over Varzim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Mafra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Mafra had 56% of the ball to Varzim's 44%, shots finished 16-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mafra and 1.33 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Mafra vs Varzim?
Mafra 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mafra 39%, draw 29%, Varzim 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.