Fafe 2-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.42
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
25.01.2026 Fafe Fafe 2-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
01.11.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
05.01.2025 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
14.09.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
19.01.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
08.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
2-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe squeezed past Sporting Braga II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fafe had 66% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 34%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fafe and 0.83 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?

Fafe 2-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fafe 58%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga II 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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