Atletico CP 3-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.52/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.20
+23% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-0 HT 0-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
13.09.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
3-0
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP swept aside Lusitano Évora 1911 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 50% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 50%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico CP and 0.00 for Lusitano Évora 1911.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Atletico CP 3-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 43%, draw 27%, Lusitano Évora 1911 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5
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