Caldas 2-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.39
-16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dezembro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 2-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
14.09.2025 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
25.01.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
27.10.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
04.05.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
18.02.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
2-1
AWAY Dezembro
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas edged past Dezembro 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 57% of the ball to Dezembro's 43%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caldas and 1.17 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Dezembro?

Caldas 2-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caldas 45%, draw 26%, Dezembro 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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