Estrela vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Estrela
POR
Estrela 0-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP squeezed past Estrela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Estrela had 33% of the ball to Sporting CP's 67%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.38 to 0.69.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Estrela and 3.40 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Estrela 0-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Estrela 13%, draw 16%, Sporting CP 70%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.