Defensor Sporting 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.34/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.24
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boston River
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Boston River Boston River 4-0 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
01.02.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
12.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
06.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
2-0
AWAY Boston River
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting beat Boston River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 59% of the ball to Boston River's 41%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.33 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?

Defensor Sporting 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 43%, draw 28%, Boston River 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5
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