Cerro Largo 1-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.46/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.37
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
417 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2025 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.06.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
18.03.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
28.09.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
14.07.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
24.03.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
1-1
AWAY Cerro
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Cerro Largo vs Cerro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cerro Largo and Cerro shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11 Apr 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 48% of the ball to Cerro's 52%, shots finished 9-17.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.67 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Cerro?

Cerro Largo 1-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 46%, draw 32%, Cerro 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5
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