Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Ashdod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashdod EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.75/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.60
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 67%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.8 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ashdod
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.35 xG 0.56
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
462 Passes 214
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-1 HT 0-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
05.12.2023 Ashdod Ashdod 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
08.08.2023 Ashdod Ashdod 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0-2
AWAY Ashdod
1.45 xG 0.72
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 149
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashdod saw off Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Ashdod made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 67% of the ball to Ashdod's 33%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.45 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ashdod led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.33 for Ashdod.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Ashdod in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 39%, draw 28%, Ashdod 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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