Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.93/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.43
+49% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
9.6 Crosses 21.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.59 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 182
68% Pass Accuracy 59%
14 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 HT 1-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
27.12.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
29.07.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
4-1
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
3.52 xG 0.28
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
439 Passes 91
88% Pass Accuracy 52%
34 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Petah Tikva swept aside Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maccabi Petah Tikva as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 75% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 25%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.52 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Petah Tikva had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 0.67 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 45%, draw 25%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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