Maccabi Haifa 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 33%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
2.03/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.64
+106% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
19.2 Crosses 23.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Haifa
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.48 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 384
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 1-0 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
05.02.2024 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 2-0 HT 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
24.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSRTK
10.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
0-1
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.22 xG 1.81
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
355 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv edged past Maccabi Haifa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Haifa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 62% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 38%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.22 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Haifa and 0.25 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Haifa 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 44%, draw 24%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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