FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Tokyo
JAP
3-6
HT 0-2
FC Tokyo
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
0-4
HT 0-3
FC Tokyo
JAP
FC Tokyo 3-3 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Tokyo had 47% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 53%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.74 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 0.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
FC Tokyo 3-3 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 37%, draw 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.