Vaduz 3-3 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 11 May 2025

Vaduz
3 - 3 HT 3 - 0
Thun
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Vaduz vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.17
Over Pick
60%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.52
No
40%
2.34
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
2%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Vaduz v Thun — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vaduz The Market 35%
Signal
AWAY Thun The Market 48%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.49 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.76
1.44 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Vaduz vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Thun
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
335 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2025 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
19.10.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
28.07.2024 Thun Thun 2-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
17.05.2024 Thun Thun 6-3 HT 3-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
01.04.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 1-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
29.10.2023 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2

Vaduz 3-3 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3 - 3
AWAY Thun
0.79 xG 2.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
330 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Vaduz vs Thun
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vaduz and Thun traded blows to a 3-3 standstill. From 3-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

We leaned Thun at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Vaduz's favour, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.79 to 2.48.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Vaduz against 2.17 for Thun.

Vaduz vs Thun Result & Final Score

Vaduz 3 - 3 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vaduz vs Thun Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 30%, draw 25%, Thun 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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