Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +26%
1.53/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.19
+38% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
14.7 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.68 xG 1.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 Passes 179
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
01.09.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
28.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
18.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
05.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
27.09.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 2-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.24 xG 0.89
71% Ball Possession 29%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
608 Passes 194
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 13
4 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside Stellenbosch FC 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 71% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 29%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.24 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.67 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 46%, draw 28%, Stellenbosch FC 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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