Saburtalo vs Samgurali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saburtalo v Samgurali — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Samgurali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Samgurali
GUR
Saburtalo 2-1 Samgurali — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Samgurali 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Saburtalo had 56% of the ball to Samgurali's 44%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Saburtalo and 1.67 for Samgurali.
What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
Saburtalo 2-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 50%, draw 26%, Samgurali 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.