Marathon 0-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.93/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.89
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
14.03.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-4 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
26.01.2025 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
30.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
28.07.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and CD Victoria fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marathon at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 1.33 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Victoria?

Marathon 0-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Marathon 56%, draw 21%, CD Victoria 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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