CD Victoria 1-4 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -10%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.20
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Marathon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
26.01.2025 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
30.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
28.07.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
01.03.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon cruised past CD Victoria 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Victoria and 0.83 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Marathon?

CD Victoria 1-4 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 30%, draw 28%, Marathon 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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