Real Espana 1-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
69%
-18.7pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.76/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.44
-23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 4
27.01.2025 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 3-2 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
29.07.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
05.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-3 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
09.11.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana and CD Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Espana and 1.17 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad?

Real Espana 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 50%, draw 30%, CD Real Sociedad 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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