Marathon vs CD Victoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v CD Victoria — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs CD Victoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
1-1
HT 0-0
CD Victoria
HON
CD Victoria squeezed past Marathon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marathon at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 1.17 for CD Victoria.
What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Victoria?
Marathon 0-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Victoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marathon 57%, draw 24%, CD Victoria 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.