Genesis PN 4-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
39%
3.18
Away
16%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.5pp
40%
Draw
28%
+11.4pp
16%
Away Win
21%
-4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 24%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.97/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.85
+26% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
21.10.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-4 HT 0-3 Genesis PN HON
10.08.2024 Genesis PN 3-0 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
29.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
05.03.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
18.10.2023 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.08.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN cruised past Lobos UPNFM 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 45% / 40% / 16% — and on the day Genesis PN made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Genesis PN and 0.33 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Lobos UPNFM?

Genesis PN 4-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 45%, draw 40%, Lobos UPNFM 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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