V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 May 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Montedio Yamagata
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.79
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.14
Over Pick
59%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.31
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
27%
2.81
6+
8%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Montedio Yamagata — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki The Market 56%
Signal
AWAY Montedio Yamagata The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.08 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Great Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
394 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-2 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
03.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
22.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 5-1 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
25.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
06.07.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.05.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Montedio Yamagata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1 - 1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
530 Passes 293
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

V-Varen Nagasaki and Montedio Yamagata finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals card split: both teams to score (59%) came in, over 2.5 goals (59%) didn't.

Under the surface, V-Varen Nagasaki had 62% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 38%, shots finished 22-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 2.33 for Montedio Yamagata.

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata Result & Final Score

V-Varen Nagasaki 1 - 1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 54%, draw 24%, Montedio Yamagata 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
11 May 2025
00:00 Mito HollyHock vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
07:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
07:00 Iwaki vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
08:00 Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Imabari vs JEF United Analysis →