Club America 2-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.55
X/2
7%
8.77
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
14%
6.71
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.57/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
+3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.0 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pachuca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
06.04.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 1-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
07.11.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
12.05.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
09.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
01.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Club America Club America CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-0
AWAY Pachuca
1.91 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
416 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club America vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America got the better of Pachuca 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Club America had 52% of the ball to Pachuca's 48%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.91 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Club America vs Pachuca?

Club America 2-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club America 45%, draw 28%, Pachuca 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ BTTS No
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