Benfica II vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Benfica II v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Benfica II vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Benfica II 1-1 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica II and Penafiel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
File this under upsets: a 66% lean on Benfica II went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 54% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in Benfica II's favour, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.25 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Benfica II against 0.50 for Penafiel.
Benfica II vs Penafiel Result & Final Score
Benfica II 1 - 1 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Benfica II vs Penafiel Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 66%, draw 20%, Penafiel 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5 went the other way.