Vitoria Guimaraes vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Farense
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Farense
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-2 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Farense squeezed past Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 70% of the ball to Farense's 30%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.48 to 1.57 — on chances, Vitoria Guimaraes could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.67 for Farense.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Farense?
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-2 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 51%, draw 26%, Farense 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.